New rules designed to curb overly rosy policy return
illustrations, the primary sales tool used to sell indexed universal life
insurance, seem to be having their desired effect, but they may not go far
enough.
The rules, Actuarial Guideline 49, provided more uniformity around the
policy-return illustrations used
by brokers and insurance agents to sell indexed
universal life products, in a play at tamping down on some of the unrealistically high returns being presented to clients.
The average maximum rates shown in policy illustrations have come down since
the rules were issued in March 2016.
The
bad news, though, according to some: AG 49 didn't address some persistent problems
with illustrations.
"The
bigger issue, to me, is not the cap on a hypothetical return, but more a
realistic expectation of what is possible," said Barry Flagg, president
and founder of Veralytic Inc., a life insurance research and ratings provider.
"If you put a cap on something unrealistic, it makes it more realistic,
but it doesn't necessarily make it realistic."
Indexed
universal life insurance has been a hot-selling insurance product.
Last year marked the product's best sales year on record, notching about $1.9
billion in annual premiums, according to Wink Inc.,
a market research firm.
The product, a type of cash-value life insurance, is similar in
construction and marketing to indexed annuities, both promising "downside
protection with upside potential."
Insurers invest the vast majority of a policyholder's premium
dollars into fixed-income securities such as high-grade bonds to achieve a
guaranteed interest floor (often 0%, sometimes higher). The remainder of the
premium is invested in options contracts linked to a market index such as the
S&P 500.
The latter is what delivers the potential upside, which is
limited by the insurer through mechanisms such as caps, participation rates and
spreads.
In March 2015, before the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners issued AG 49, the average assumed illustrated policy return was
7.46%, according to Wink. Fast-forward two years, and that rate fell to 6.33%.
"A lot of times what the sales process boils down to is
[that] the best illustration wins," said Scott Witt, owner of Witt
Actuarial Services, a fee-only insurance advisory firm. "The one that
looks best on paper is the one that's chosen."
An illustration is a hypothetical calculation of a
policyholder's future return. It's a point-in-time snapshot based on factors
such as historical market-index returns, a company's current cost of insurance
and expenses, and a policy's cap, spread or participation rate.
While illustrations for indexed universal life policies are now
more reasonable following AG 49, they still don't take into account a few key
factors, leaving room for potentially misleading sales, observers say.
For example, insurers are able to tweak caps, spread and
participation rates — on an annual or other basis stipulated by the policy — if
economic conditions change, making items such as derivatives and hedges more
expensive for the insurer to purchase, Mr. Witt said.
However, the potential for those tweaks isn't reflected in
illustrations.
"That totally changes what the policyholder gets," Mr.
Flagg said.
Plus, any variability in the rate of interest charged for a
policy loan isn't reflected either — only the rate at that point in time, Mr.
Witt said. A prudent broker would discuss these risks with clients, and show
some hypotheticals around what happens if illustrated rates don't come to
fruition, he said.
Further, illustrated returns on an indexed universal life policy
don't include dividends from a market index, because a policyholder isn't
invested directly in the index.
So, if a policy is linked to the S&P 500, an illustration
would be compared with the S&P 500's capital return (or, the return minus
dividends) rather than its total return.
That puts a broker trying to help an investor understand indexed
universal life returns with respect to other common types of investments at a
disadvantage, said Mark Whitelaw, president of Valley View Consultants Inc.
In one example, the illustrated rates of one "major indexed
universal life issuer" for 2017 are 35.21% to 49.53% lower than the
equivalent S&P 500 total return, according to calculations made by Valley
View Consultants.
"That's the issue for the securities licensed rep: They're
not provided the starting point consistent with the information they have if
they're providing info on IRAs, 401(k)s, variable annuities, taxable brokerage
account investing," Mr. Whitelaw said. "Consumers don't buy products
based on capital return."
"As a registered rep, I've always taken the perspective
that I need to figure out how to translate AG 49 into the S&P 500 total
return so I can be compliant with Finra [rules]," he added.
Such shortfalls aren't necessarily shortfalls in AG 49, but are
indicative of other improvements that could be made to the illustrations used
by brokers and consumers, observers said.
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