Saturday, March 31, 2018

BNM Boosting Takaful

Image result for Bank negara malaysia and takafulBank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) measures such as the introduction of Perlindungan Tenang, the implementation of Balanced Scorecard framework, and other measures, are viewed positively as catalysts to stimulate higher take up rate of insurance policies.
MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd’s research arm (MIDF Research) pointed out that these proactive measures by the central bank are a welcomed sight.
“We are optimistic on the prospect of insurance and takaful industry improving further given the ample room for growth, supported by BNM’s proactive measures to innovate the industry,” it said.
It noted that in 2017, the insurance and takaful industries maintained its positive momentum in 2017 with an overall growth of 3.5 per cent y-o-y compared with 4.4 per cent y-o-y in 2016, supported by growing demand for protection products.
Image result for Bank negara malaysia and takaful“We see life insurance and family takaful combined, grew at a decent rate of 5.8 per cent y-o-y in 2017 in terms of new premium and contribution.
“We noted that the product type composition of both life insurance and family takaful remained broadly unchanged, a trend seen over the last five years. The product composition was mainly composed of whole-life endowment, mortgage-related term insurance and takaful products, which made up 64.8 per cent of total new premiums or contribution.
“Based on prevailing trend, we expect aforementioned products will continue to dominate new premiums/contributions share at least in the near term,” it added. The research team further highlighted that life insurance and family takaful uptake among Malaysians have seen gradual increase. “Overall penetration rate of both life insurance and family takaful policies stood at 36.5 per cent, improving by two percentage points (ppts) y-o-y.
Image result for Bank negara malaysia and takaful“We are able to see encouraging development in take up rate among those of working age (20 to 59 years old) as well, where penetration rate reached 50.4 per cent in 2017, up by 3.6 ppts y-o-y,” it said.
Despite the positive trajectory, MIDF Research said, the life insurance and family takaful has yet to achieve its full growth potential given its low overall penetration rate. As such, it said, “Pursuant to this slow progression, it is comforting to see that BNM had launched several proactive measures to better stimulate the industry’s growth.”
Among them, it noted that the introduction of Perlindungan Tenang, an initiative to introduce a range of insurance and takaful products to meet the needs of underserved Malaysians, particularly the Bottom 40 per cent household segment (B40), over 2,000 Perlindungan Tenang policies were sold within the first two months.
“Looking at the trajectory in 2018, we believe the numbers of policies sold will trend higher with more participation from insurers and takaful providers coupled with higher public awareness campaign on Perlindungan Tenang,” it opined.
Other measures by BNM to stimulate insurance and takaful industry further include the implementation of Balanced Scorecard framework, offering of products through direct distribution channel, and implementation of free-pricing mechanism for general products.
Image result for Bank negara malaysia and takaful“We see all the measures mentioned above as catalysts to stimulate higher take up rate of insurance policies,” the research team added. Meanwhile, on the performance of the general insurance and takaful industries, MIDF Research general insurance and takaful were almost flat in 2017.
“Notwithstanding this, we are encouraged to see positive growth in the motor, fire and medical business; classified as the three largest contributors to gross premiums and contributions,” it said, noting that the motor segment grew by 3.6 per cent in 2017, benefiting from higher new car sales.
“Moving forward, we believe general insurance and takaful will display improvement taking into account the recovery of oil and gas sector, supported by key segments’ positive momentum,” it commented.
It added, “While we are aware of the potential impact of phased liberalization to the general insurance and takaful industry, we have yet to see this materialize at a significant level. According to BNM, this was due to short period of implementation to date and the overall cautious approach to premium pricing.”
Overall, MIDF Research pointed out that the industry maintained its performance in 2017 which is within its expectation. It also noted that the growth in premium and contributions are expected to improve the industry’s earnings performance.

30% of B40 Have Life Insurance

Image result for B40 of MalaysiaMalaysia's household debt-to-gross domestic product declined to 84.3% last year from 88.3% in 2016 driven by stronger performance of the domestic economy and improvement in underlying trends in debt accumulation by households.
Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) said the growth of unsecured borrowings in the form of personal loans has been sharply lower, down to 2.5% last year from 25.2% in 2008, and the debt servicing ratios of most households remained within prudent levels.
It said the growth in household financial assets outpaced that of debt for the first time since 2012.
"The growth in household borrowings moderated for the seventh consecutive year and is now more in line with income growth," BNM said in its Financial Stability and Payment Systems Report 2017 released today.
The central bank said the banking sector's profitability continued to improve, albeit the lower household income level, reflecting the slower growth in interest expenses and higher fee-based income from financing-related activities and stockbroking activities.
"Outstanding financing by banks grew 4.1% to RM1,584.4 billion in 2017, driven mainly by financing to households and small and medium enterprises (SMEs). In particular, growth in financing to SMEs remained healthy at 6%," it said.
Image result for B40 of MalaysiaIt said the Islamic finance industry also maintained healthy levels of profitability and capitalization last year with Islamic financing grew by 9.4%, driven mainly by home and SME financing.
On insurance and takaful, the central bank said, the sector maintained positive growth underpinned by strong overall capitalisation but penetration rate for life insurance and family takaful remained low, increasing only marginally over the last four years.
"Unsurprisingly, penetration is lower in the Bottom 40% household segment with only 30.3% owning a life insurance or family takaful policy," it said.
On cross-border development, BNM said, Malaysia's debt securities market continued its upward trajectory last year, growing 10.1% to RM1.3 trillion, or 97.6%, of gross domestic product (GDP).
"Bond yields, despite more volatile capital flows, remained relatively stable, owing to the active participation of domestic institutional investors," it said.
It said following the series of measures introduced by the Financial Markets Committee since December 2016, onshore foreign exchange liquidity has improved considerably with average daily trading volume in the onshore foreign exchange market increased to US$9.9 billion, up by over 20% from 2016.
"The transaction volume of the ringgit non-deliverable forward market has contracted by 70% since November 2016," it said.
It added that the more flexible hedging framework has also resulted in increased foreign exchange forward transactions by non-resident institutional investors.
Meanwhile, on payment and settlement systems, it said, the system remained resilient and operated without any major interruptions throughout the year.
Image result for B40 of Malaysia"To mitigate cyber risk to key payment infrastructures, financial institutions have taken steps to comply with enhanced security controls, including those published by Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication to fortify the local operating environment," it said.
It said as part of BNM's drive towards a cashless society, measures have been actively implemented to correct price distortions, enable a greater degree of competition, and establish market incentive structures to promote innovation and investments in payments infrastructure.
Going forward, BNM said, it would focus on initiatives to promote mobile payments to complement debit cards in displacing cash.
"An area of primary focus will be the operationalisation of the Interoperable Credit Transfer Framework (ICTF).
"By ensuring fair and open access to a shared payment infrastructure by banks and non-banks, the ICTF is envisioned to drive greater competition, spur the development of innovative payment services to cater to the needs of different customer segments, and foster greater financial inclusion," it said.

Low Wages In Malaysia

Image result for low wages in Malaysia'Although the income levels of Malaysians have increased significantly over the years, voices of discontent are mounting over the decline in purchasing power. Low and depressed salaries are among the grouses of executives and non-executives amid the apparent lifestyle changes of Malaysians. With the rising cost of living, they lament that there is now less room for long-term savings and investments.
According to the Employees Job Happiness Index 2017 survey, one in three Malaysian employees want a pay rise, with rewards constituting 52% of the domestic workforce’s motivation to work.
In its 2017 Annual Report, Bank Negara points out that the expenditure of the bottom 40% (B40) of Malaysian households has expanded at a faster pace compared with their income. From 2014 to 2016, the average B40 income level grew by 5.8% annually, marginally lower than the 6% growth in the B40 household spending in the same period.
Image result for low wages in Malaysia'It is also worth noting that half of working Malaysians only earned less than the national median of RM1,703 in 2016. The central bank, in consideration of the low-wage conundrum, has recently recommended that employers use a “living wage” as a guideline to compensate their employees for their labor. Essentially, the living wage refers to the income level needed to achieve a minimum acceptable standard of living, depending on the geographical location.
Citing Kuala Lumpur as an example, Bank Negara estimates that the living wage in the city two years ago was about RM2,700 for a single adult. The living wage estimate for a couple without a child was RM4,500, while for a couple with two children, the living wage was RM6,500.
As much as Malaysians support higher wages, which can outgrow escalating living cost, the bigger question is whether their employers are willing to increase wages significantly. Also, is it realistic for employers to pay higher salaries in line with the suggested living wage?
Malaysian Employers Federation (MEF) says that the living wage is unsuitable for adoption in Malaysia – for now. The living wage will turn out to be damaging to the domestic labor market, given the rising cost of doing business in recent times.
The living wage concept is unrealistic in Malaysia for the time being. While employers in Malaysia are more than happy to compensate workers for their work, people must also understand that they are bogged down by escalating costs. However, if the workers are proactive and "upskill" themselves to increase their productivity, then I do not see any reason for employers to refrain from offering higher pay packages.
Image result for low wages in Malaysia'The Government on its part, should not micro-manage the economy to the extent of telling the employers how much to pay their workers. Instead, the Government can provide various incentives to the employers to bring down costs, which will translate into higher salaries or even exempt the employees’ bonuses from tax.
Socio Economic Research Centre welcomes Bank Negara’s living wage guideline “to prevent a wage employee from the deprivation of a decent standard of living”. In order to push for the acceptance of a living wage in Malaysia, Lee recommends that government-linked companies (GLCs) adopt the concept gradually.
The enforcement of commitments toward the living wage is a complex and costly issue, and more importantly, should be paid voluntarily by the employers. This would require extensive consultations and engagements with the stakeholders. Perhaps, as one of the largest employers in the country, GLCs can incorporate the living wage clause in their suppliers’ procurement contracts. Concerns about Malaysia’s low-wage environment are not only centred on the low-skilled workers but across-the-board, as even executives lament about being lowly-compensated.
Image result for low wages in Malaysia'Are Malaysians Being Paid Enough? - Based on data from the Statistics Department’s Salaries and Wages Survey Report 2016, most Malaysian workers are still paid significantly lower than the desired amount to achieve “minimum acceptable living standard”, at least in Kuala Lumpur.
Nearly 50% of working adults in Kuala Lumpur earned less than RM2,500 per month in 2016, notably lower than the RM2,700 living wage as suggested by Bank Negara. In fact, up to 27% of households in Kuala Lumpur earned below the estimated living wage in 2016.
While wage growth has exceeded inflation over the years, real wage growth has been largely subtle. Real wage refers to income adjusted for inflation. According to the MEF’s website, the salaries of executives were expected to grow by 5.55% in 2017, compared with 6.31% in 2013. As for non-executives, the average salary was anticipated to increase by 5.44% in 2017, down from 6.78% in 2013.
Given the 3.7% headline inflation registered in 2017, executives’ salaries may have just inched up by 1.85% on average, after factoring in inflation. As for non-executives, their real wage could have grown by 1.74%, lesser than the executives in Malaysia.
While a slight moderation in headline inflation is expected this year, the purchasing power of Malaysians is unlikely to improve significantly. In an earlier report - it described 2018 as a “bad year for employees and employers”, and projected Malaysians’ average salary increment to be lower than last year.
Image result for low wages in Malaysia'Several new policies and measures introduced by the government such as the mandatory requirement for employers to defray levy for their foreign workers and the introduction of the Employment Insurance System, which would increase the costs borne by domestic businesses. It will be difficult for employers to raise salaries after this, given such dampeners. The biggest challenge now is to strike a balance between the market’s ability to compensate a worker and the worker’s required income level to achieve a minimum acceptable standard of living.
More efforts have to be made to enhance the business and investment climate, in order to entice existing firms to expand and upgrade while new firms and start-ups emerge to create more high-paying jobs. Business owners and employees to forge appropriate wage-setting mechanisms, which are "benchmarked" against the productivity of the workers.
Government should consider additional fiscal incentives for firms that provide worker benefits to meet the living wage standard. For example, double tax deduction for transport allowance and other cost of living adjustments for the lower-salaried employees.
Meanwhile, mployees should be given a higher share of the profit generated by their employers moving forward, in line with the practice in many high-income nations abroad. It is actually reasonable for Malaysian employers to allocate a larger chunk of their profits to reward their workers and motivate them.
Image result for low wages in Malaysia'In 2016, the compensation of employees to gross domestic product (CE-to-GDP) ratio in Malaysia improved to 35.3%. The CE-to-GDP ratio shows the workers’ share in the profits made by business owners. For every RM1 generated in 2016, 35.3 sen was paid to the employee and 59.5 sen went to corporate earnings, while five sen was given to the government in the form of taxes. 
In its 11th Malaysia Plan, the Government aspires to increase the CE-to-GDP ratio substantially to 40%, from 34% in 2013. While Malaysia’s CE-to-GDP ratio has continued to improve over the years, it is notably lower than several other high and middle-income countries. The 11th Malaysia Plan document stated that the country’s CE-to-GDP ratio was lower than Australia (47.8%), South Korea (43.2%) and even South Africa (45.9%).
Malaysia was unlikely to reach its CE-to-GDP ratio target by 2020. This was mainly as a result of Malaysia’s lower-than-expected productivity growth.
Image result for low wages in Malaysia'
Low-wage Conundrum - According to Bank Negara, the main underlying cause of Malaysia’s low-wage environment is the high numbers of cheap foreign workers. The Country should cut back on its foreign worker dependency to drive higher wages for Malaysians across-the-board.
In Malaysia, our salaries and wages are low, as half of the working Malaysians earn less than RM1,700 per month and the average starting salary of a diploma graduate is only about RM350 above the minimum wage. It is high time to reform our labour market by creating high-quality, good-paying jobs for Malaysians. 
Continuing reliance on foreign workers has resulted in a predominantly low wage-low productivity-low value economy, with many features of a middle-income trap. On one end of the wage-skill spectrum, the low-skilled jobs are being substituted by easy availability of unskilled foreign workers, thereby keeping the blue-collar wages from rising.
At the other end, skilled job wages are being depressed by insufficient high-wage job creation, weak firm profitability amid rising market competition and excess capacity, industry consolidations and other factors resulting in a slack labor market.
It is worth noting that the share of high-skilled jobs has reduced to 37% in the period from 2011 to 2017, as compared to 45% from 2002 to 2010. Malaysia has come a long way since its independence, transforming itself from a largely rural "agragrian" country to a regional economic powerhouse, which is driven by its strong services and manufacturing sectors.
Image result for low wages in Malaysia'While industrialization and automation have grown robustly since the 1990s, economists feel that the country has not managed to substantially move up the value chain compared with other countries such as Singapore.
The lack of a high-skilled workforce, low productivity, employment opportunities to cater to high-skilled professionals and the presence of cheap foreign workers have all weighed down on the Malaysian economy, particularly the income levels of Malaysians.
Citing the examples of Singapore and Australia, which are successful in raising wages historically, Yeah says that structural reforms should be undertaken in Malaysia to reverse the low-wage conundrum.
A good quality and inclusive education system coupled with sound economic policies and effective implementation have enabled the two countries to sustain growth, raise productivity and wages and shift to higher-value activities.

Friday, March 30, 2018

Another Investment Scam

Image result for investment scamA married couple wanted for allegedly masterminding a foreign exchange investment, or forex cheating syndicate, were arrested at klia2 on Monday.
Bukit Aman Commercial CID director Amar Singh Ishar Singh said the 56-year-old man and his 55-year-old wife were detained upon their return from a neighbouring country, where they had gone on Feb 11.
He said so far, the police had arrested five main members of the syndicate, including three men who were arrested on Feb 10.
“The syndicate is believed to have been operating between 2013 and August 2016, and an estimated 70,000 people had fallen victims,” he told a media conference here today.
According to him, police also seized RM10.4 million worth of properties, including houses, a condominium, a shop lot and two factory lots belonging to the couple.
Image result for investment scamIn addition, police also seized eight luxury cars, including a Mercedes Benz, a Porsche Cayenne, a BMW and an Audi, as well as 50 watches of different brands, which were estimated to be valued at RM12 million.
On Feb 10, police detained three individuals on suspicion of involvement in the syndicate, involving a loss of almost RM1 billion.
The suspects are said to have duped the victims into participating in investments under the foreign exchange concept.
They are believed to have pulled wool over their eyes by holding seminars in hotels, offering a 12% monthly profit, using companies registered under the Companies Commission of Malaysia and involving organisers or higher management figures holding the “Datuk” title.

Losing Brain Drain War

Image result for brain drainThe Malaysian Employers Federation (MEF) has painted a grim picture of local employers’ ability to retain talent in the country.
“It looks like local companies are losing the war against the brain drain in the country,” the federation’s executive director Shamsuddin Bardan said.
Sometimes, offering a renumeration that is 40% higher than the person is getting at present is not enough to keep him from leaving for a better-paying job overseas.
“The problem is that once an employee says he wants to go overseas, his income becomes four to five times higher because of the exchange rate,” he said.
Shamsuddin acknowledged that the government had done what it could to bring talent back into the country, citing the Returning Expert Programme introduced in January 2001.
“Unfortunately, this hasn’t worked that well. So far, only about 2,000 Malaysians have returned home through this programme when we know that there are more than a million Malaysians working or staying overseas.”
Image result for brain drain
He said the only real solution he saw was to strengthen the ringgit.
“We must also start becoming more aggressive in terms of our pay structure so we can compete with the more developed countries.”
Shamsuddin said apart from better pay, another major push factor was the various opportunities these other countries presented for the employee’s families.
“Another reason employees tend to seek jobs outside the country is that some of these countries provide better education for their children.”
Bank Negara Malaysia’s 2017 annual report revealed that dependence on low-skilled foreign workers is shaping Malaysia’s reputation as a labour-intensive, low-cost destination for foreign investors, many of whom seek to primarily leverage on its relative ease in hiring foreign workers and lower labour costs.
“In the end, this self-reinforcing image further locks Malaysia into this low-cost bind that will require significant resources to undo.
“This also worsens the displacement of local talent migrating to higher-paying countries, culminating in a brain drain for Malaysia,” it cautioned.